AI Could Be Disinflationary, Says Jeremy Siegel, As Agents Can Shop For Cheaper Deals | Old North State Wealth News
Connect with us

Economy

AI could be disinflationary, says Jeremy Siegel, as agents can shop for cheaper deals

Published

on

Economists are divided on the extent to which artificial intelligence will prove disinflationary—and when. On the one hand, AI capital expenditure (capex) is driving massive demand for finite resources and skills, thereby pushing up prices. On the other, AI’s productivity benefits could increase efficiency, bringing down costs in the longer term.

Jeremy Siegel, an emeritus professor of finance at the Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania, has a further theory: AI could help address the affordability crisis through agents tasked with making consumers’ lives cheaper.

While AI and data centers aren’t hugely popular at present, any assistance in bringing down the cost of living is likely to be welcomed. Currently, U.S. consumers face inflation levels of 3.4%, according to the latest data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. That is significantly ahead of the Federal Reserve’s 2% target, and it hiked the U.S. base interest rate this month as a result.

Affordability is also top of mind for voters in the run-up to midterms: A July study from Pew Research showed the economy was the most important issue for voters, with 29% saying they wanted to hear plans to address price increases from congressional candidates. A further 15% said affordability and the cost of living specifically were key issues for them.

Siegel suggests AI can help. Referencing the launch of Meta’s personal AI agent, Muse, Siegel wrote for WisdomTree that a “fascinating new force” was emerging, with “a potentially much broader economic development.”

Muse has payment capabilities to enact the goals set by users, Meta announced earlier this month. For example, it could grocery shop for a recipe saved on Instagram, or proceed with the sale of a car once the right price has been agreed upon.

He noted: “Companies in banking, telecommunications, insurance, and other industries have long benefited from customer inertia. Consumers frequently stay with an inferior rate or service because switching simply is not worth the effort. An AI agent capable of comparison shopping, negotiating, and switching providers changes that equation.”

Dotcom comparison

Meta has some way to go, however: The Guardian reported today that a Muse agent had conducted the sale of an item on Facebook Marketplace in Toronto. The agent completed the sale and arranged for pickup of the item, sharing the seller’s home address without permission or approval of the sale.

The emergence of such a service—whether it’s from a hyperscaler or any other market participant—could have the impact of shifting the macroeconomic picture. “I wrote more than 25 years ago that the internet could intensify price competition by making comparison shopping dramatically easier,” Siegel adds. “The results were mixed because consumers still had to take action themselves. AI agents potentially remove that final friction.

“If they begin negotiating phone bills, moving deposits toward higher-yielding accounts, or routinely finding cheaper alternatives, they could attack what might be called inertial monopolies. That could ultimately be an important competitive, and disinflationary, force across the economy.”

Demand from consumers is already notable. In July, the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) shared in a paper that a third of individuals across its member countries used AI, increasingly to support financial decision-making such as “assistance with choosing and understanding financial products, budgeting, credit management, investing, and retirement planning.”

However, the OECD paper said that increased financial literacy is going to be needed if consumers are to use the technology effectively and safely. The study explains: “Consumers need to know how to ask appropriate questions, how to critically assess personal data requests and the responses they receive. Low levels of financial, digital, and AI literacy could further increase the potential for harm associated with the use of these technologies.”

Fortune Daily breaks the traditional barrier between audience and newsroom. The show transforms Fortune’s trusted reporting into actionable, conversational, and entertaining insights for an emerging class of business leaders. Watch here.

Read the full article here

Advertisement

Trending

Copyright © 2024 ONSWM News. Content posted on the Old North State Wealth News page was developed and produced by a third party news aggregation service. Old North State Wealth Management is not affiliated with the news aggregation service. The information presented is believed to be current. It should not be viewed as personalized investment advice. All expressions of opinion reflect the judgment of the authors on the date the articles were published. The information presented is not an offer to buy or sell, or a solicitation of any offer to buy or sell, any of the securities discussed.